NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: San Francisco

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#104 San Francisco

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: likely out

San Francisco’s resume is built around a rare neutral-site statement win at Minnesota that shows the staff can get a meaningful result away from home, but that bright spot is dimmed by ugly results like the road loss at Memphis and the home setback to North Alabama plus neutral defeats to Colorado and Nevada that a committee will treat as damaging. The team has not yet beaten a true league power away from home and losses at St Mary’s and the long trip to Gonzaga loom large for their profile, yet there are still clear opportunities to flip the script in conference play with winnable games at Oregon State and Seattle, home chances against San Diego and Portland, and a neutral test against Mississippi State that could serve as a quality addition. How the Dons handle those remaining chances and whether they can avoid another nonconference-style blemish will determine if that Minnesota win becomes a building block or a solitary highlight.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/8	@Memphis	74	L76-70
11/12	Portland St	162	W80-70
11/15	Bradley	128	W75-64
11/18	Northwestern LA	316	W84-64
11/22	(N)Minnesota	109	W77-65
11/27	(N)Colorado	68	L79-69
11/28	(N)Nevada	99	L81-65
12/3	North Alabama	217	L65-63
12/7	(N)Mississippi St	78	40%
12/13	@St Louis	44	19%
12/17	(N)Loyola-Chicago	288	86%
12/21	Morgan St	361	98%
12/28	@Seattle	111	41%
12/30	@Oregon St	179	61%
1/2	San Diego	269	89%
1/4	Portland	246	88%
1/8	@Loy Marymount	143	51%
1/10	@Pepperdine	286	78%
1/13	St Mary's CA	35	32%
1/18	Washington St	164	78%
1/24	@Gonzaga	3	3%
1/28	@Santa Clara	49	21%
1/31	Pacific	129	69%
2/3	Loy Marymount	143	72%
2/7	@St Mary's CA	35	15%
2/12	Oregon St	179	80%
2/15	@San Diego	269	75%
2/18	Gonzaga	3	9%
2/21	Santa Clara	49	41%
2/28	@Pacific	129	47%